BULL TRAP



THE VR FORECASTER – ANNUAL FORECAST MODEL
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FORMER AFC CHAMPS KANSAS CITY FORTELLS A BEAR MARKET!

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WARNED OF A BULL TRAP

U.S. Stocks Settle Lower As Traders Scale Back Rate Cut Bets After PPI Data
U.S. stocks settled lower on Friday as robust producer price inflation data raised concerns that Federal Reserve
may not consider lowering interest rate anytime soon.
The major averages all ended weak, with the downside of the tech-laden Nasdaq more pronounced. The Dow, which
briefly emerged into positive territory around mid afternoon, ended with a loss of 145.13 points or 0.37 percent
at 38,627.99.
The S&P 500 ended down 21.16 points or 0.48 percent at 5,005.57, while the Nasdaq settled at 15,775.65, losing
130.52 points or 0.82 percent.
Digital Realty tumbled more than 8 percent. Adobe Systems dropped about 7.4 percent, while Airbnb, Moderna,
Micron Technology, Nike and Equinix lost 2 to 4 percent.
Amgen, Advanced Micro Devices, Invesco, Netflix, Alphabet, Whirlpool, Oracle, Cisco Systems, Intel, Microchip
Technology and Visa ended down 1 to 2 percent.
Dollar General rallied nearly 5 percent. Bio-Rad Laboratories, Eli Lily, Target, eBay, Kroger, Merck, Morgan
Stanley, Walmart and Dollar Tree posted sharp to moderate gains.
Data from the Labor Department showed a bigger than expected increase in U.S. producer prices in the month of
January.
The report said the producer price index for final demand rose by 0.3 percent in January after edging down by
0.1 percent in December. Economists had expected producer prices to inch up by 0.1 percent.
Excluding prices for food, energy, and trade services, core producer prices climbed by 0.6 percent in January
after rising by 0.2 percent in December.
The report also showed the annual rate of producer price growth slowed to 0.9 percent in January from 1.0
percent in December. Economists had expected the pace of growth to decelerate to 0.6 percent.
Following the hotter-than expected consumer price inflation data released earlier in the week, the data added to
concerns the Federal Reserve will postpone cutting interest rates longer than investors had hoped.
However, the negative sentiment was partly offset by a separate report from the University of Michigan showing
an uptick in consumer sentiment in the month of February.
The report said the consumer sentiment index inched up to 79.6 in February after spiking to 79.0 in January.
With the increase, the consumer sentiment index reached its highest level since hitting 81.2 in July 2021.
Other Markets
In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region moved mostly higher during trading on Friday.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index advanced by 0.9 percent, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index surged by 2.5 percent.
European stocks closed higher on Friday, extending recent gains, with investors cheering UK retail sales data
and some encouraging corporate earnings updates.
The pan European Stoxx 600 climbed 0.62 percent. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 surged 1.5 percent, Germany’s DAX and
France’s CAC 40 gained 0.42 percent and 0.32 percent, respectively.
In the bond market, treasuries pulled back sharply after moving higher over the two previous sessions. As a
result, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, climbed up 10.8 basis
points at 4.299 percent this morning.

CHINESE NEW YEAR

FOMC MEETINGS 2024
MARCH 20
MAY 1
JUNE 12
JULY 31
SEPT 18
NOV 7
DEC 18

CRYPTO UPDATE AS OF FEBRUARY 17, 2024:




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COME ON, DAD. IT’S TIME TO EAT

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