WEEKLY PODCAST

MARKETS – SOME SEE RED – OTHERS SEE OPPORTUNITY

https://www.howestreet.com/2025/04/markets-some-see-red-others-see-opportunity-mark-leibovit/

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After moving sharply higher over the course of last Friday’s session, stocks fluctuated over the course of the trading day on Monday but managed to end the day mostly higher. The major averages all finished the day firmly positive, climbing further off the one-year lows hit last Tuesday.

The Dow jumped 312.08 points or 0.8 percent to 40,524.79, the Nasdaq rose 107.03 points or 0.6 percent to 16,831.48 and the S&P 500 climbed 42.61 points or 0.8 percent to 5,405.07.

The higher close on Wall Street came after U.S. Customs and Border Protection guidance issued late Friday revealed certain tech products will be excluded from President Donald Trump’s “reciprocal tariffs.”

The excluded products purportedly include smartphones and computers as well as other devices and components like semiconductors.

However, adding to the uncertainty surrounding tariffs, Trump claimed in a post on Truth Social that there was “no Tariff ‘exception’ announced,” noting the products are still subject to exiting 20 percent fentanyl tariffs are just moving to a “different Tariff ‘bucket.'”

“NOBODY is getting ‘off the hook’ for the unfair Trade Balances, and Non Monetary Tariff Barriers, that other Countries have used against us, especially not China which, by far, treats us the worst!” Trump said.

“We are taking a look at Semiconductors and the WHOLE ELECTRONICS SUPPLY CHAIN in the upcoming National Security Tariff Investigations,” he added. “What has been exposed is that we need to make products in the United States, and that we will not be held hostage by other Countries.”

Biotechnology stocks showed a substantial move to the upside on the day, resulting in a 2.5 percent surge by the NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index.

Considerable strength was also visible among commercial real estate stocks, as reflected by the 2.1 jump by the Dow Jones U.S. Commercial Real Estate Index.

Pharmaceutical, computer hardware and utilities stocks also saw significant strength, closing higher along with most of the major sectors.

In overseas trading stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region moved mostly higher during trading on Monday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index jumped by 1.2 percent, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index surged by 2.4 percent.

The major European markets also showed significant moves to the upside on the day. While the German DAX Index spiked by 2.9 percent, the French CAC 40 Index shot up by 2.4 percent and the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index jumped by 2.1 percent.

In the bond market, treasuries regained ground after moving sharply lower last week. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, tumbled by 12.9 basis points to 4.364 percent.

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Top 10 Reasons April Is the WORST Month

Have you ever noticed that April is a tragedy-filled month? Not only is April the month of Adolph Hitler’s birthday; historically, April is also a violent month, with the Oklahoma City bombing, Columbine High School massacre, and the assassinations of Abraham Lincoln and Martin Luther King Jr. all taking place all bad things that happened in April. WatchMojo counts down ten of the worst tragedies to ever take place in the month of April.

#10: San Francisco Earthquake
April 18, 1906
The infamous San Francisco earthquake of 1906, which is estimated to have registered a 7.8 on the Richter scale, struck the state of California early in the morning on April 18th, 1906, sending shockwaves from Eureka to the Salinas Valley. The worst of the damage happened in San Francisco, where the quake triggered catastrophic fires. Anything not destroyed by the tremors was razed by the fire, which annihilated 80% of the city and killed 3,000 people. To this day, it’s considered one of the worst natural disasters in the history of the United States.

#9: Bay of Pigs Invasion
April 17-19, 1961
To the American government, this military invasion of Cuba seemed like a great idea: train and fund a paramilitary group made up of Cuban exiles to depose Fidel Castro and his communist government. Over $13 million was earmarked for the invasion, and the CIA began organizing the operation. President John F. Kennedy okayed the plan, and on the night between April 16th-17th, Brigade 2506 arrived at a beach in the Bay of Pigs. However, within three days, they’d been defeated. In addition to irreparably damaging the relationship between the U.S. and Cuba and strengthening Castro’s position, the failed invasion also led to 1962’s Cuban Missile Crisis.

#8: Boston Marathon Bombing
April 15, 2013
The 2013 Boston Marathon seemed like another normal edition of the famed event, until two homemade bombs exploded about 12 seconds apart near the finish line at 2:49pm. Three people were killed, 16 lost appendages, and hundreds of others were injured in the blasts, which the FBI determined to be the work of the Tsarnaev brothers. The Chechan-American brothers Dzhokhar and Tamerlan were said to have carried out the attack due to their extremist Islamic views. After shootouts, kidnappings, more murders, the death of Tamerlan and an extensive manhunt, Dzhokhar Tsarnaev was located, tried and ultimately sentenced to death for his crimes.

#7: Assassination of Abraham Lincoln
April 14, 1865
Often recognized as one of the greatest and most influential presidents in the history of the United States, 16th President Abraham Lincoln was responsible for keeping the country together during its bloody Civil War, abolishing the institution of slavery and aiding economic growth, while also upholding the principles set forth by the Founding Fathers. These are just a few reasons why the nation mourned when, on the evening of April 14th, 1865 while attending a play at Ford’s Theatre, Lincoln was shot in the back of the head by John Wilkes Booth, and died the next day.

#6: Oklahoma City Bombing
April 19, 1995
In what’s been called the deadliest act of domestic terrorism in United States history, a car bomb destroyed one-third of the Alfred P. Murrah Federal building in downtown Oklahoma City, killing 168 people, including 19 children, injuring almost 700, damaging hundreds of buildings and cars in the area and causing $652 million worth of damage. Within hours, Timothy McVeigh was arrested, and his partner Terry Nichols turned himself in soon after. After their anti-government motive was uncovered, McVeigh was executed for the bombing in 2001 and Nichols was sentenced to 161 consecutive life terms without the possibility of parole.

#5: Columbine High School Massacre
April 20, 1999
Sadly, the Columbine massacre wasn’t the only school shooting to take place during the month of April, as the Virginia Tech shooting occurred on April 16th, 2007. But Columbine has been called “the deadliest high school shooting in U.S. history.” Students Eric Harris and Dylan Klebold devised a complex plan that involved propane tanks, fire bombs, car bombs and other explosive devices to cause as much mayhem as possible while they went on their shooting spree. After killing 12 and injuring many more, the two students committed suicide, kicking off a worldwide panic about gun control, bullying, goth culture and violence in the media.

#4: Assassination of Martin Luther King Jr.
April 4, 1968
A prominent figure in the Civil Rights Movement, this Baptist minister and nonviolent activist protested racial discrimination, combatted poverty and opposed U.S. involvement in the Vietnam War. Known for his skills as a public speaker, and more specifically his famous “I Have a Dream” speech, he was a fierce orator and crusader for the African-American people. However, MLK’s fight ended on April 4th, 1968 in Memphis, Tennessee. In town to support striking sanitation workers, Dr. King was shot while standing on the balcony of his hotel room by criminal and fugitive James Earl Ray.

#3: Sinking of the RMS Titanic
April 14-15, 1912
It was said to be unsinkable, but that was proven false on the night of April 14-15, 1912. It was during the Titanic’s maiden voyage that the largest ship of its time collided with an iceberg in the North Atlantic, with over 2,200 people onboard. Ultimately, the ship took on water, broke apart and foundered, eventually sinking beneath the icy ocean surface. Although some 700 were saved by the steamship RMS Carpathia, which had rushed to the rescue, more than 1,500 died due to a lack of lifeboats and the poorly organized evacuation. This April tragedy has since been called one of the deadliest commercial maritime disasters in modern history.

#2: Chernobyl Disaster
April 26, 1986
It was on April 26th, 1986, during a rushed, late-night test of the plant’s power-failure preparedness, that a combination of human error and internal flaws resulted in a catastrophic explosion and fire at the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant near Pripyat in the USSR. Although only two employees died in the blast, hundreds of other staff, firefighters and people living in the vicinity succumbed to acute radiation syndrome in the months to come, and an untold number were at risk for cancer. Causing enormous damage to the environment and exposing the population to medical risks, the cleanup and containment process involved over 500,000 people and cost around 18 billion dollars, with that cost only increasing as years passed.

#1: Rwandan Genocide Begins
April 7, 1994
After years of tension between the Hutu majority government and the Tutsi people in Rwanda, violence erupted on the 7th of April 1994, and many of the political elite, the army, clergy and civilians began a mass slaughter of the Tutsis. In what turned out to be a genocide that lasted 100 days, more than 800,000 Tutsis were murdered, with many more starved, tortured and raped. A devastating moment in human history, this massacre only ended once the Hutu-controlled government was defeated by the Tutsi-Supported Rwandan Patriotic Front. But even then, some 2 million Rwandans, mainly Hutus, were forced to flee the country and become refugees.

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This started Feb 9m 1990, James Baker III the Sec of State said to Mikhail Gorbachav, NATO will not move one inch east wood if you agree to German Unification basically ending WW II. The US then cheated in 1994 when Clinton signed off on a plan to extend NATO all the way to Ukraine. This is when the so-called NEOCONS took power. Clinton as the first agent of this. Expansion of NATO started in 1999 with Poland, Hungary and Czech Republic. Russian shrugged that off thinking was no direct threat. Then the U.S. led the bombing of Servia in 1999. This was bad because because it was NATA bombing a European capital, Belgrade 78 days to break the country apart. Russians did not like that but Putin became President and swallowed it andu even started out pro-European and pro-American suggesting that they should join NATO thinking there was still some mutual respect. Then came 911 and Afghanistan and the Russians said we can support you to root out terror. In 2002 the U.S. unilaterally walked out of the anti-ballistic missile treaty which led to the US putting in missile systems in Eastern Europe which Russia views as a dire direct threat to national security, making possible a  strike’ on missiles a few minutes away from Moscow. US put in two AEGIS missile systems calling it ‘defense’. Russia asked how do we know its not Tomahawk nuclear tipped missiles. In 2003 we invaded Iraq on completely phony. In 2004-5 US was involved in a soft regime change in Ukraine. Called the ‘First Color Revolution. Put in President Yushchenko. US had it dirty hands in this meddling in other countries elections. In 2009 Yamukovych won the election and became President on the basis of neutrality for Ukraine. People of Ukraine did not want NATO. Country was divided between ethnic Ukrainians and ethnic Russians. ‘Why do want this? In 2014 the US participated actively in the overthrow of Yamukovych – a typical US regime change operation. In 2019 we walked out of the Intermediate Nuclear Force Treaty. In 2017 we walked out of the JCPOA Treaty with Iran. On Dec 15, 2021 Putin put on the table a draft US/Russia Security Agreement. The basis of it was no NATO enlargement. Jake Sullivan said the U.S. had an OPEN DOOR policy.

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https://tinyurl.com/5wz6fvb5

Yes, that’s a cartoon of me. Louis Rukeyser had us dressed up in ‘elf’ costumes on the screen broadcast each week. I’ve dated myself. That occurred for me between 1988-1996. Lou didn’t like any bearish comments, so myself and other elves got dumped in 1996.

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GREAT MARTIN ARMSTRONG INTERVIEW UNVELING THE CORRUPTON IN THE EU, THE TARIFFS EVEN WITH CANADA ITSELF AND THE REAL REASON GOLD IS HGHER:

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https://tinyurl.com/35kxesnm

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THANK YOU, MICHAEL CAMPBELL FOR THE INTERVIEW

1/2 Off VRTrader.com’s Blockchain Letter

Timer’s Digest Market Timer of the Year Mark Leibovit has been tracking the opportunities and trends in crypto-currencies and blockchain technology for more than 5 years in his BlockChain newsletter. In conjunction with his appearance on this week’s show, Michael has arranged a special 50% discount for the MoneyTalks audience. If you’ve ever considered adding Crypto to your portfolio, this is a great place to start. CLICK HERE and use the promo code halfoff.

P.S.  The 50% discount code works for all of Mark’s newsletters including his world famous Market Timing Letter.

Description
Mike asks if we should be thanking President Trump. Legendary timer Mark Leibovit is bullish on crypto and specific stock groups. Plus, a Shocking Stat of the Week on American gold, and a Goofy on how emotion breeds silliness.

LINK TO INTERVIEW:

https://tinyurl.com/c8k9cybs

https://tinyurl.com/tsxk7nn2

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https://www.ft.com/content/7b83f0f5-4d03-40c4-b79d-36cc4e247d54

 

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WHO IS MARK LEIBOVIT? 

MARK LEIBOVIT is Chief Market Strategist for LEIBOVIT VR NEWSLETTERS a/k/a VRTrader.Com. His technical expertise is in overall market timing and stock selection based upon his proprietary VOLUME REVERSAL (TM) methodology and Annual Forecast Model.

Mark’s extensive media television profile includes seven years as a consultant ‘Elf’ on “Louis Rukeyser’s Wall Street Week” television program, and over thirty years as a Market Monitor guest for PBS “The Nightly Business Report”. He also has appeared on Fox Business News, CNBC, BNN (Canada), and Bloomberg, and has been interviewed in Barrons, Business Week, Forbes and The Wall Street Journal and Michael Campbell’s MoneyTalks.

In the January 2, 2020 edition of TIMER DIGEST MAGAZINE, Mark Leibovit was ranked the #1 U.S. Stock Market Timer and was previously ranked #1 Intermediate U.S. Market Timer for the ten year period December, 1997 to 2007.

He was a ‘Market Maker’ on the Chicago Board Options Exchange and the Midwest Options Exchange and then went on to work in the Research department of two Chicago based brokerage firms. Mr. Leibovit now publishes a series of newsletters at www.LeibovitVRNewsletters.com. He became a member of the Market Technicians Association in 1982.

Mr. Leibovit’s specialty is Volume Analysis and his proprietary Leibovit Volume Reversal Indicator is well known for forecasting accurate signals of trend direction and reversals in the equity, metals and futures markets. He has historical experience recognizing, bull and bear markets and signaling alerts prior to market crashes. His indicator is currently available on the Metastock platform.

His comprehensive study on Volume Analysis, The Trader’s Book of Volume published by McGraw-Hill is a definitive guide to volume trading. It is now also published in Chinese. Mark has appeared in speaking engagements and seminars in the U.S. and Canada.

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COME ON, DAD. IT’S TIME TO EAT

DISCLAIMER:

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