https://www.howestreet.com/2024/09/september-a-treacherous-time-for-traders-mark-leibovit/
NEXT PODCAST ‘THIS WEEK IN MONEY’ AVAILABLE ON THE WEEKEND
BULL TRAP CONDITION CONTINUES TO EXIST DESPITE WHAT YOU HEAR IN THE MEDIA
DANGER DANGER WILL ROBINSON
Inflation is not caused by the actions of private citizens, but by the government: by an artificial expansion of the money supply required to support deficit spending. No private embezzlers or bank robbers in history have ever plundered people’s savings on a scale comparable to the plunder perpetrated by the fiscal policies of statist governments.
~ Ayn Rand
Stocks moved sharply lower early in the session on Wednesday but showed a substantial turnaround over the course of the trading day. The tech-heavy Nasdaq led the recovery, with all of the major averages ending the day in positive territory.
After tumbling by as much as 1.4 percent in early trading, the Nasdaq surged 369.65 points or 2.2 percent to 17,395.53. The S&P 500 also jumped 58.61 points or 1.1 percent to 5,554.13, while the Dow rose 124.75 points or 0.3 percent to 40,861.71 after hitting its lowest intraday level in almost a month.
The early sell-off on Wall Street came following the release of the Labor Department’s closely watched report on consumer price inflation in the month of August.
While the report showed consumer prices increased in line with economist estimates, core consumer prices rose by slightly more than expected.
The Labor Department said its consumer price index rose by 0.2 percent in August, matching the uptick seen in July as well as economist estimates.
Meanwhile, core consumer prices, which exclude food and energy prices, climbed by 0.3 percent in August after rising by 0.2 percent in July. Economists had expected core prices to rise by another 0.2 percent.
Stocks moved sharply lower as the data seemingly reduced the chances of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points next week.
Selling pressure waned dramatically over the course session, however, as the Fed is still expected to continue lowering interest rates in the coming months.
CME Group’s FedWatch Tool suggests the chances of a half-point rate cut next week have fallen following the release of the report, but it still points to rates being at least a full percentage point lower by the end of the year.
“Given the stickiness of services inflation, the Fed will likely cut by 25 basis points in the upcoming meeting and reserve the potential for more aggressive action later this year if we have further deterioration in the job market,” said Jeffrey Roach, Chief Economist for LPL Financial.
Sector News
Semiconductor stocks helped lead the turnaround on Wall Street, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index spiking by 4.9 percent. Market leader and AI darling Nvidia (NVDA) turned in one of the sector’s best performances, soaring by 8.0 percent.
Significant strength also emerged among networking, software and computer hardware stocks, contributing to the surge by the tech-heavy Nasdaq.
Steel and retail stocks also showed strong moves to the upside over the course of the session, while weakness remained visible among oil producer stocks despite a rebound by the price of crude oil.
Other Markets
In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region moved mostly lower during trading on Wednesday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index tumbled by 1.5 percent, while China’s Shanghai Composite Index slid by 0.8 percent.
Meanwhile, the major European markets turned in a mixed performance on the day. While the German DAX Index rose by 0.4 percent, the French CAC 40 Index edged down by 0.1 percent and the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index dipped by 0.2 percent.
In the bond market, treasuries fluctuated over the course of the session before closing roughly flat. As a result, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, crept up by less than a basis point to 3.653 percent.
Looking Ahead
Trading on Thursday may be impacted by reaction to separate Labor Department reports on producer price inflation and weekly jobless claims.
WHEN WILL THE ‘PHONY’ EARNINGS SEASONS COME TO AN END? YES, PHONY! MANIPULATED FORECASTS, INSIDE INFORMATION, ETC HAVE BECOME INSTITUTIONALIZED.
OPPORTUNITY TO ACCESS MARK LEIBOVIT’S PROPRIETARY VOLUME REVERSAL INDICATOR – THIS IS THE ONLY PLACE TO DO IT!
https://www.metastock.com/prod
Yes, that’s a cartoon of me. Louis Rukeyser had us dressed up in ‘elf’ costumes on the screen broadcast each week. I’ve dated myself. That occurred for me between 1988-1996. Lou didn’t like any bearish comments, so myself and other elves got dumped in 1996.
WHO am I?
MARK LEIBOVIT is Chief Market Strategist for LEIBOVIT VR NEWSLETTERS a/k/a VRTrader.Com. His technical expertise is in overall market timing and stock selection based upon his proprietary VOLUME REVERSAL (TM) methodology and Annual Forecast Model.
Mark’s extensive media television profile includes seven years as a consultant ‘Elf’ on “Louis Rukeyser’s Wall Street Week” television program, and over thirty years as a Market Monitor guest for PBS “The Nightly Business Report”. He also has appeared on Fox Business News, CNBC, BNN (Canada), and Bloomberg, and has been interviewed in Barrons, Business Week, Forbes and The Wall Street Journal and Michael Campbell’s MoneyTalks.
In the January 2, 2020 edition of TIMER DIGEST MAGAZINE, Mark Leibovit was ranked the #1 U.S. Stock Market Timer and was previously ranked #1 Intermediate U.S. Market Timer for the ten year period December, 1997 to 2007.
He was a ‘Market Maker’ on the Chicago Board Options Exchange and the Midwest Options Exchange and then went on to work in the Research department of two Chicago based brokerage firms. Mr. Leibovit now publishes a series of newsletters at www.LeibovitVRNewsletters.com. He became a member of the Market Technicians Association in 1982.
Mr. Leibovit’s specialty is Volume Analysis and his proprietary Leibovit Volume Reversal Indicator is well known for forecasting accurate signals of trend direction and reversals in the equity, metals and futures markets. He has historical experience recognizing, bull and bear markets and signaling alerts prior to market crashes. His indicator is currently available on the Metastock platform.
His comprehensive study on Volume Analysis, The Trader’s Book of Volume published by McGraw-Hill is a definitive guide to volume trading. It is now also published in Chinese. Mark has appeared in speaking engagements and seminars in the U.S. and Canada.
The Walt Disney Company has been criticized (MYSELF INCLUDED) for its “woke” content and has faced backlash from conservative politicians and social media voices. Some of the criticisms include:
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Donations to LGBTQIA+ organizations
Some shareholders have argued that Disney’s donations to organizations that serve the LGBTQIA+ community are “extreme pursuits” that ignore the beliefs of most Americans.
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Inclusion of LGBTQ+ characters
Some critics have taken issue with Disney’s inclusion of LGBTQ+ characters and elements in stories, such as a same-sex kiss in Lightyear and a nonbinary character in Elemental.
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Black Ariel in Little Mermaid
Some critics have taken issue with the inclusion of a Black Ariel in the recent Little Mermaid.
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Economic and reputational consequences
Some claim that Disney’s “woke virtue signaling” has had economic and reputational consequences, with Disney’s market cap falling nearly 40% since February 2021.
- Disney’s biggest priority is entertaining audiences
- Disney is focused on the future, not the past
- Disney needs to be more sensitive to the interest of a broad audience
- Disney’s primary mission is to entertain and then have a positive impact on the world through entertainment
RFK Jr. Shreds Democrats for Abandoning Democracy
La Niña can impact weather around the world. For example, in 2024, NOAA projected a 60% chance that La Niña would develop between June and August, which could increase the chances of a dangerous Atlantic hurricane season.
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I USE JOEL WALLACH’S SUPPLEMENTS EVERY DAY. MAY AGAIN PROVIDE A LINK TO PURCHASE THEM HERE
COME ON, DAD. IT’S TIME TO EAT
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