https://www.howestreet.com/2024/08/markets-in-a-potentially-dangerous-time-mark-leibovit/
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Inflation is not caused by the actions of private citizens, but by the government: by an artificial expansion of the money supply required to support deficit spending. No private embezzlers or bank robbers in history have ever plundered people’s savings on a scale comparable to the plunder perpetrated by the fiscal policies of statist governments.
~ Ayn Rand
U.S. Stocks Move Mostly Lower Ahead Of Nvidia Earnings AND ARE DOWN DURING THE EVENING SESSION!
Stocks moved mostly lower during trading on Wednesday, with weakness in the tech sector weighing on the broader markets. With the downward move on the day, the Dow pulled back off the record closing high set on Tuesday.
The major averages climbed well off their worst levels in the latter part of the session but remained in the red. The tech-heavy Nasdaq slumped 198.79 points or 1.1 percent to 17,556.03, the S&P 500 slid 33.62 points or 0.6 percent to 5,592.18 and the Dow fell 159.08 points or 0.4 percent to 41,091.42.
The weakness on Wall Street partly reflected anxiety ahead of the release of market leader Nvidia’s (NVDA) fiscal second quarter results after the close of trading.
Shares of Nvidia tumbled by 2.1 percent on the day, more than offsetting the 1.5 percent jump seen during Tuesday’s session.
On average, analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect the company to report earnings of $0.64 per share on revenues of $28.7 billion for the quarter.
“Under normal circumstances, beating earnings forecasts would traditionally be a positive share price catalyst,” said Dan Coatsworth, investment analyst at AJ Bell. “However, so many investors view Nvidia as bulletproof that an earnings beat might not be enough to move the dial. What really matters is proof that AI is still red hot.”
“The results will need to show Nvidia’s order book remains strong and that rumoured delays to its new Blackwell chip are only a short-term problem,” he added. “If it disappoints on either account, there is the potential for a new equity sell-off around the world.”
Stocks were also under pressure as traders looked ahead to Friday’s release of the Commerce Department report on personal income and spending in the month of July, which includes readings on inflation said to be preferred by the Federal Reserve.
Economists currently expect the annual rate of consumer price growth to inch up to 2.6 percent in July from 2.5 percent in June, while the annual rate of core consumer price is expected to tick up to 2.7 percent in July from 2.6 percent in June.
While the data is not likely to affect optimism the Fed will lower rates next month, it could impact expectations for how quickly the central bank cuts rates.
During his speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium last Friday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the “time has come for policy to adjust” but noted the “timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks.”
Sector News
Computer hardware stocks saw substantial weakness on the day, contributing to the steep drop by the Nasdaq. Reflecting the weakness in the sector, the NYSE Arca Computer Hardware Index plunged by 2.5 percent.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) led the computer hardware sector lower, with the server maker plummeting by 19.1 percent after saying it would delay the filing of its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended June 30.
Considerable weakness was also visible among gold stocks, resulting in a 2.2 percent slump by the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index. The weakness in the gold sector came amid a decrease by the price of the precious metal.
Semiconductor stocks also showed a significant move to the downside on the day, dragging the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index down by 1.8 percent.
Steel, oil service and airline stocks also saw notable weakness, moving lower along with most of the other major sectors.
Other Markets
In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region turned in another mixed performance during trading on Wednesday. While Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index rose by 0.2 percent, China’s Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.4 percent and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index slumped by 1.0 percent.
Meanwhile, European stocks moved mostly higher on the day. The German DAX Index climbed by 0.5 and the French CAC 40 Index edged up by 0.2 percent, although the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index closed just below the unchanged line.
In the bond market, treasuries showed a lack of direction over the course of the session before closing roughly flat. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, crept up by less than a basis point to 3.841 percent.
Looking Ahead
Trading on Thursday is likely to be driven by reaction to Nvidia’s quarterly results, while a report on weekly jobless claims may also attract some attention.
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Yes, that’s a cartoon of me. Louis Rukeyser had us dressed up in ‘elf’ costumes on the screen broadcast each week. I’ve dated myself. That occurred for me between 1988-1996. Lou didn’t like any bearish comments, so myself and other elves got dumped in 1996.
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MARK LEIBOVIT is Chief Market Strategist for LEIBOVIT VR NEWSLETTERS a/k/a VRTrader.Com. His technical expertise is in overall market timing and stock selection based upon his proprietary VOLUME REVERSAL (TM) methodology and Annual Forecast Model.
Mark’s extensive media television profile includes seven years as a consultant ‘Elf’ on “Louis Rukeyser’s Wall Street Week” television program, and over thirty years as a Market Monitor guest for PBS “The Nightly Business Report”. He also has appeared on Fox Business News, CNBC, BNN (Canada), and Bloomberg, and has been interviewed in Barrons, Business Week, Forbes and The Wall Street Journal and Michael Campbell’s MoneyTalks.
In the January 2, 2020 edition of TIMER DIGEST MAGAZINE, Mark Leibovit was ranked the #1 U.S. Stock Market Timer and was previously ranked #1 Intermediate U.S. Market Timer for the ten year period December, 1997 to 2007.
He was a ‘Market Maker’ on the Chicago Board Options Exchange and the Midwest Options Exchange and then went on to work in the Research department of two Chicago based brokerage firms. Mr. Leibovit now publishes a series of newsletters at www.LeibovitVRNewsletters.com. He became a member of the Market Technicians Association in 1982.
Mr. Leibovit’s specialty is Volume Analysis and his proprietary Leibovit Volume Reversal Indicator is well known for forecasting accurate signals of trend direction and reversals in the equity, metals and futures markets. He has historical experience recognizing, bull and bear markets and signaling alerts prior to market crashes. His indicator is currently available on the Metastock platform.
His comprehensive study on Volume Analysis, The Trader’s Book of Volume published by McGraw-Hill is a definitive guide to volume trading. It is now also published in Chinese. Mark has appeared in speaking engagements and seminars in the U.S. and Canada.
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Trump promises to release JFK assassination documents after Robert F Kennedy Jr backs him for president
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