https://www.howestreet.com/2025/02/signals-stock-markets-should-stay-positive-mark-leibovit/

The Establishment’s Last Stand Against Trump’s Tariffs
The Peterson Institute for International Economics is once again warning that Donald Trump’s tariff proposals would spell economic disaster. But their latest analysis, rather than proving their case, actually demonstrates how minimal the effects on the U.S. economy would be. If anything, their own numbers show that tariffs disproportionately harm China while having only a rounding-error effect on U.S. GDP and inflation.

When the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its nonfarm payrolls count for January, it is projected to show growth of 169,000, down from 256,000 in December, but nearly in line with the three-month average. Also, annual benchmark revisions are projected to show a record increase of 3.5 million in the population and 2.3 million in household employment.
Recent indicators show that while hiring has leveled off, layoffs aren’t increasing and workers aren’t quitting, though job openings are on the decline.

Stocks showed a lack of direction over the course of the trading session on Thursday, with the major averages swinging back and forth across the unchanged line before eventually closing mixed.

he Nasdaq and the S&P 500 reached new highs for the session going into the end the day, closing higher for the third straight session.

The Nasdaq climbed 99.66 points or 0.5 percent to 19,791.99 and the S&P 500 rose 22.09 points or 0.4 percent to 6,083.57, but the narrower Dow fell 125.65 points or 0.3 percent to 44,747.63.

The choppy trading on Wall Street came as traders seemed reluctant to make significant moves ahead of the release of the Labor Department’s closely watched monthly jobs report on Friday.

The report, which is expected to show employment climbed by 170,000 jobs in January after jumping by 256,000 jobs in December, could impact the outlook for interest rates.

A day ahead of the release of the more closely watched monthly jobs report, the Labor Department released a report showing first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits rose by more than expected in the week ended February 1st.

The report said initial jobless claims climbed to 219,000, an increase of 11,000 from the previous week’s revised level of 208,000.

Economists had expected initial jobless claims to rise to 213,000 from the 207,000 originally reported for the previous week.

A separate report released by the Labor Department showed U.S. labor productivity and unit labor costs both increased by less than expected in the fourth quarter of 2024.

Sector News

Most of the major sectors showed only modest moves on the day, contributing to the lackluster performance by the broader markets.

Banking stocks moved notably higher over the course of the session, however, with the KBW Bank Index climbing by 1.5 percent to its best closing level in almost two years.

Considerable strength was also visible among computer hardware stocks, as reflected by the 1.3 percent gain posted by the NYSE Arca Computer Hardware Index.

Steel stocks also turned in a strong performance, while energy stocks were under pressure, dragging the NYSE Arca Oil Index and the NYSE Arca Natural Gas Index down by 1.6 percent and 1.5 percent, respectively.

Other Markets

In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region moved mostly higher during trading on Thursday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index climbed by 0.6 percent, while China’s Shanghai Composite Index jumped by 1.3 percent.

The major European markets also showed strong moves to the upside on the day. While the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index shot up by 1.2 percent, the French CAC 40 Index and the German DAX Index both surged by 1.5 percent.

In the bond market, treasuries saw a modest pullback after moving notably higher in the previous session. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, crept up 1.8 basis points to 4.440 percent.

Looking Ahead

The monthly jobs report is likely to be in the spotlight on Friday, while a preliminary readings on consumer sentiment and inflation expectations in February may also attract attention.

On the earnings front, online retail giant Amazon (AMZN) is among the companies releasing their quarterly results after the close of today’s trading.

https://www.metastock.com/offer/event/?whc=traders-conference&pc=eq-vrtrader

A NEW SHERIFF IN TOWN

Groundhog Day 2025 results: Punxsutawney Phil, Lady Edwina, Staten Island Chuck and more predictions

https://www.nj.com/news/2025/02/groundhog-day-2025-results-punxsutawney-phil-lady-edwina-staten-island-chuck-and-more-predictions.html

https://newparadigminstitute.org/learn/library/hunting-ufos-the-crash-retrieval-whistleblower/?sourceid=1068214&emci=b24fd73c-17e4-ef11-90cb-0022482a94f4&emdi=5ced075e-23e4-ef11-90cb-0022482a94f4&ceid=12581274

ULTIMATE PROOF THE DEMOCRATS ARE THE PARTY OF VIOLENCE

5n8suszk

CHNI: Democrats vote against ban on transgender athletes

Editor: I will say it again. Democrats suffer from mental illness!

https://katherineclark.house.gov/2025/1/chni-democrats-vote-against-ban-on-transgender-athletes

THE PRODUCERS WILL SWALLOW THE TARIFFS TARIFFS ARE NOT GOING TO PRODUCE INFLATION

https://tinyurl.com/38nmcnnz

Yes, that’s a cartoon of me. Louis Rukeyser had us dressed up in ‘elf’ costumes on the screen broadcast each week. I’ve dated myself. That occurred for me between 1988-1996. Lou didn’t like any bearish comments, so myself and other elves got dumped in 1996.

WHO am I?

MARK LEIBOVIT is Chief Market Strategist for LEIBOVIT VR NEWSLETTERS a/k/a VRTrader.Com. His technical expertise is in overall market timing and stock selection based upon his proprietary VOLUME REVERSAL (TM) methodology and Annual Forecast Model.

Mark’s extensive media television profile includes seven years as a consultant ‘Elf’ on “Louis Rukeyser’s Wall Street Week” television program, and over thirty years as a Market Monitor guest for PBS “The Nightly Business Report”. He also has appeared on Fox Business News, CNBC, BNN (Canada), and Bloomberg, and has been interviewed in Barrons, Business Week, Forbes and The Wall Street Journal and Michael Campbell’s MoneyTalks.

In the January 2, 2020 edition of TIMER DIGEST MAGAZINE, Mark Leibovit was ranked the #1 U.S. Stock Market Timer and was previously ranked #1 Intermediate U.S. Market Timer for the ten year period December, 1997 to 2007.

He was a ‘Market Maker’ on the Chicago Board Options Exchange and the Midwest Options Exchange and then went on to work in the Research department of two Chicago based brokerage firms. Mr. Leibovit now publishes a series of newsletters at www.LeibovitVRNewsletters.com. He became a member of the Market Technicians Association in 1982.

Mr. Leibovit’s specialty is Volume Analysis and his proprietary Leibovit Volume Reversal Indicator is well known for forecasting accurate signals of trend direction and reversals in the equity, metals and futures markets. He has historical experience recognizing, bull and bear markets and signaling alerts prior to market crashes. His indicator is currently available on the Metastock platform.

His comprehensive study on Volume Analysis, The Trader’s Book of Volume published by McGraw-Hill is a definitive guide to volume trading. It is now also published in Chinese. Mark has appeared in speaking engagements and seminars in the U.S. and Canada.

COME ON, DAD. IT’S TIME TO EAT

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